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Some Basic Global Warming Questions and Answers. In 1968, I began scientific research on the possible ecological effects of global warming, and published my first scientific paper about in usa this subject in 1973. During the same period, I developed a computer model of forest growth. Called JABOWA, it became one of the major methods in the 1980s and 1990s to A Review Essays, forecast possible effects of global warming on in usa forests and some endangered forest species. When I first became concerned about global warming, there was a relatively small group of Shrek: Essays, scientists - ecologists, climatologists, and meteorologists mostly - who were thinking about it.

In the years since, I have continued to do research and publish articles, both scientific and for lay people, about global warming. I devoted a chapter and more to this subject in my first major trade book, Discordant Harmonies: A New Ecology for the 21st Century(Oxford University Press, New York: 1990). JABOWA Computer model display. In all of this work, my goal was to do an objective scientific analysis and new research, following traditional scientific principles of disprovability. This research includes observations (empirical studies) and theory. Wherever possible, theoretical models have been tested and in usa, validated. Now that global warming has become a major public issue, a great many people are speaking and writing about global warming , regardless of their knowledge, experience, research, and study of the truth slavery subject. As a result, people have been asking me a variety of in usa, questions about the on and Privacy scientific basis of what we are being told. Ultimately, I decided it would be helpful to summarize some of the major questions, with brief answers. Religions. To assure the reader that I have done years of research on this subject, I have also listed my major papers that deal directly with ecological effects of global warming or provide some scientific results essential to assessing some of its possible ecological effects.

That list follows the 21 questions and answers. One of the reasons that debates over global warming become confused is that the subject raises a number of Essays, scientific questions and as a result people often talk at religions cross-purposes. Example Essay. Here is a list of the basic questions and, where the answers are simple, answers. Questions about Global Warming Itself. 1. Is there a greenhouse effect? Yes, some gases and liquids transmit visible light and absorb infrared light. 2. What are the major greenhouse gases in religions, our atmosphere? Water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrogen oxides, and madcap brewery, CFCs (Freon).

Strictly speaking, water vapor is the major greenhouse gas by concentration; the religions in usa rest are minor constituents of the atmosphere. 3. If carbon dioxide is madcap brewery, only 0.03% of the atmosphere, and water vapor is one of the atmosphere's major components, how can carbon dioxide play a greenhouse role? The answer has to do with the infrared wavelengths carbon dioxide absorbs uniquely and the fact that it liquefies and freezes at a lower temperature than water does and therefore can act as a greenhouse gas much higher in the atmosphere than water can. 4. Has the climate changed in the past prior to in usa, the industrial age and prior to any human effects on madcap brewery the atmosphere? If so, at rates and degrees that are forecast by current climate models to happen in the near future for us? Yes, recent scientific evidence indicates that climate has always been changing, and prior to human influences, temperature has changed as rapidly and to as great a degree as is forecast to occur in the future from the global warming computer models. 5. Is carbon dioxide increasing? Yes. There are solid data for this. 6. Are any of the other greenhouse gases increasing? Data support that this is religions, happening for great Dream, methane, nitrogen oxides, and in usa, CFCs.

It is Essay, worth noting that rate of religions, increase in methane, CFC-11, and Essay on, CFC-12 slowed (or even decreased) recently, for reasons that are not well explained or understood. 7. Religions. Has the temperature been rising steadily in recent years? There have been decades in the 20th century when the temperature rose and decades when it fell. Up through the end of the 1990s, there had been a recent warming trend. So far, it is unclear whether this is about american slavery, continuing in the 21st century. A warming trend began around 1850, lasting until the1940s, when temperatures began to cool again, followed by a leveling off of temperature in the 1950s, and a further drop during the in usa 1960s. After that, the example essay average surface temperature rose.

8. What is the source of the in usa major beliefs that global warming will occur and will have severe and undesirable effects? Large computer models of Earth's climate, called general circulation models (GCMs). There are at least 30 of these in use worldwide. 9. Have these climate models been proved to be true? Scientists refer to such proof as model validation. The GCMs have not been validated with standard scientific methods. 10. Are there any legitimate questions about the forecasts from these climate models? Yes. In particular: Climate modelers and their critics agree that the models do not do a very good job with water in the atmosphere. Process Essay. As the climate warms, more water is evaporated from Earth's surface.

A key question is: Does most of religions, this water remain vapor (a greenhouse gas) or condense into clouds (that cool the climate)? The models are steady-state, requiring and assuming that a specific change in essay, the concentration of a greenhouse gas always has the same effect, regardless of past changes and religions, total concentration. In fact, however, climate is always changing and is not in Shrek: A Review, a steady state. The effect on climate of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases is not linear. As the concentration of carbon dioxide goes up, an increase in a ton of CO2 has less and religions in usa, less effect on about slavery climate. The relative effects of greenhouse gases compared to other factors that influence the in usa Earth's temperature are still open to Chaser Essay examples, debate. In Usa. Among these other factors are the Shrek: Essays following: variations in the sun's energy output; internal dynamics of the atmosphere, ocean, and religions in usa, life, which can modulate the direct greenhouse effects. One of the main causes of variation in sunlight reaching the Earth is long-term variations in Shrek: A Review Essays, our planet's path around the sun and its tilt and wobble as it spins like a top. In Usa. Known as the Milankovitch cycles, these produce variations over 20,000, 40,000, and 100,000 years and are believed to be the primary drivers of the A Review glacial and interglacial cycles. The models are weak in religions in usa, their handling of the dynamics of land vegetation and ocean dynamics, and Essays, the coupling among these and the dynamics of the atmosphere. Since both oceans and land vegetation --- especially forests, wetlands, and grasslands --- can have major effects on atmospheric chemistry and in usa, physics, these aspects of the global models need considerable attention.

Questions about Possible Effects of Global Warming. 11. The UN IPCC report states that up to madcap brewery, 30% of animal and plant species will be threatened with extinction in the next few decades from global warming. Is this realistic? In the past 2? million years, under climate change as great and as fast, very few animal and plant species went extinct, far less than 30%. Most forecasting methods suggest that extinctions will be fewer than the religions in usa IPCC asserts.

Methods that suggest high rates of The Creation of Video, extinction assume that the in usa world is in steady state and must be in steady state for species to Shrek: A Review Essays, persist; that species have little or no ability to adjust and religions, adapt to climate change, contrary to well-established biological and on Google and Privacy, ecological knowledge. 12. Will tropical epidemic diseases spread widely and rapidly? Some excellent scientific papers show that temperature is not a good basis to forecast the spread of in usa, malaria and encephalitis. In fact, until the second half of the madcap brewery 20th century, malaria was endemic and widespread in many temperate regions and in usa, there were epidemics north to the Arctic Circle. 13. Will all the ice in the arctic melt?

Scientists who are specialists about the dynamics of sea ice say this will not happen. What might happen is that the on Northwest Passage could open up - could become ice-free - for a few months in the summer; large areas of in usa, sea ice in the arctic might melt back, but these would be renewed each year. Chaser Examples. Arctic sea ice cover has undergone large changes in the geological past. For example, studies of deposits of fossil plankton indicate that sea ice in in usa, the Chukchi Sea was significantly less between 6,000 and 2,500 years ago. (These organisms respond rapidly to climate change.) 14. Will many arctic mammals go extinct from Gatsby---the Essay this change in religions in usa, ice cover?

Today's arctic mammals evolved long enough ago for the species to have experienced past climate changes of equal rate and amount, and survived these. Experts on Essay on Google arctic mammals are concerned about a few that have very specific requirements and narrow, highly specialized ecological niches. There are between 17,000 and 27,000 polar bears worldwide, and some of the populations have increased recently. Polar bears evolved several hundred thousand years ago and religions in usa, survived past climate changes equal in essay, rate and amount to what is forecast to happen in the future. Ecologists and in usa, geneticists have in the past said that a species is not likely to be threatened with extinction until its number gets below 500 individuals. 16. Are all mountain glaciers melting because of present warming? No. Shrek: A Review Essays. A prime example is Mt.

Kilimanjaro's glacier, which has been retreating since the late 19th century for reasons unrelated to global warming. Some mountain glaciers may retreat from global warming, but this can happen only when the temperature at the elevation of the glaciers is above freezing, or if global warming greatly reduces snowfall in those mountains. 17. Is Greenland's ice melting? If so, will it disappear? Current scientific papers disagree about the extent to which Greenland has lost its glacial ice in religions, recent years and about how much the Essay Google glaciers will change in the future. But the in usa most thorough recent study by Greenland scientists suggests that Greenland's glaciers have oscillated and are not in general decreasing. 18.

Is the sea level rising rapidly because of global warming? The sea level has been rising at Games about a 18 cm (7 inches) a century since the end of the last ice age. Between 1993 and 2003, the religions sea level rose about 3.1mm/year, or a rate of 31 cm (about 1 foot) a century. There is much disagreement about what may happen to the sea level in truth, the future, even among climatologists and oceanographers, and even if global warming happens as forecast by the global climate models. 19.

Will some island nations disappear due to in usa, sea-level rise? Yes, even from the background rate (the rate at which the Gatsby---the Dream Chaser Essay examples sea level has been rising without global warming). But the jury is still out as to whether the sea level is rising more rapidly than that, and therefore might be causing accelerated problems of this kind. (Of course, healthy coral reefs grow and in the past have kept pace with sea level rise.) 20. Will global warming affect world food production? If global warming occurs, it will change where the best areas for agriculture will be. Present forecasting methods are not good enough to tell us much more than that. The result will be that some countries will benefit and others will lose agriculture production.

21. Are there any fundamental underlying issues we have not addressed? One of the most important is whether, globally, life and its life-supporting systems have been, must be, and religions, are best in a steady state, one that is unchanging over madcap brewery time. The most extreme concerns about global warming assume that life and its environment must remain as they were around 1960. This assumption is common among climatologists who argue that global warming is happening and will be disastrous. Religions In Usa. In contrast, ecologists have established that ecological systems are not steady-state and truth, that species not only have evolved and adapted to change, but in fact many, perhaps most, require change. Global warming Publications by Daniel B. Botkin. Botkin, D.B., and E.A. Keller, 1987, Environmental Studies: Earth as a Living Planet (Columbus, Ohio: Charles E. Religions. Merrill), 500 pp. (2nd edition; 1st edition published 1982). Botkin, D.B., M. Caswell, J.E.

Estes, and A. Orio, eds., 1989, Changing the on and Privacy Global Environment: Perspectives on Human Involvement (New York: Academic Press). Botkin, D.B., 1990, Discordant Harmonies: A New Ecology for the 21st Century (New York: Oxford University Press). Botkin, D.B., 1993, Forest Dynamics: An Ecological Model (New York: Oxford University Press). Skinner, B., S. Porter, and D.B. Botkin, 1999, The Blue Planet (New York: John Wiley Sons). Botkin, D. B., and E.A. Keller, 1995 (1 st edition), 1997 (2 nd edition), 1999 (3 rd edition), 2003 (4 th edition), 2004 (5 th edition), 2007 (6 th edition), 2009 (7 th edition) Environmental Sciences: The Earth as a Living Planet (New York: John Wiley).

Keller, E.A., and religions in usa, D.B. Gatsby---the Chaser Essay Examples. Botkin, 2007, Essential Environmental Science (New York: John Wiley). Global Warming Articles and Reports by Daniel B. Botkin. Botkin, D.B., J.F. Janak, and religions, J.R. Wallis, 1973, Estimating the effects of carbon fertilization on forest composition by ecosystem simulation, pp. 328-344, In G.M. Woodwell and E.V. Pecan, eds., Carbon and the Biosphere, Brookhaven National Laboratory Symposium No. 24, Technical Information Center, U.S.A.E.C., Oak Ridge, TN.

Botkin, D.B., 1977, Forests, lakes, and the anthropogenic production of carbon dioxide, BioScience 27 : 325-33. Woodwell, G.M., R.H. Whittaker, W.A. Reiners, G.E. Likens, C.A.S. Hall, C.C. Delwiche, and D.B. Botkin, 1978, The biota and truth, the world carbon budget, Science 199: 141-146.

Ralston, Charles W., G.M. Woodwell, R.H. Whittaker, W.A. Reiners, G.E. Likens, C.C. Delwiche, D.B. Botkin, 1979, Where Has All the religions Carbon Gone? Science , New Series, Vol. Madcap Brewery. 204, No. 4399. (Jun.

22, 1979), pp. 1345-1346. Botkin, D.B.,ed., 1980, Life from a Planetary Perspective: Fundamental Issues in religions, Global Ecology . Final report NASA Grant NASW-3392. 49 pp. Botkin, D.B., 1982, Can there be a theory of global ecology? Journal of Theoretical Biology, 96: 95-98. Botkin, D.B., 1984, The Biosphere: The New Aerospace Engineering Challenge. Aerospace America , July 1984, pp. 73-75.

Botkin, D.B., J.E. Estes, R.M. MacDonald, M.V. Wilson, 1984, Studying the Earth's Vegetation from Space, BioScience 34(8):508-514. Botkin, D.B., and S.W.

Running, 1984, Role of Vegetation in the Biosphere, Purdue University Machine Processing of Remotely Sensed Data (Symposium), pp. 326-332. Davis, M.B., and D.B. Botkin, 1985, Sensitivity of the Cool-Temperate Forests and Their Fossil Pollen to Rapid Climatic Change, Quaternary Research 23:327-340. Botkin, D.B., 1985, The Need for a Science of the Biosphere, Interdisciplinary Science Reviews, 10(3):267-278. Botkin, D.B., 1985, The Science of the Biosphere, Origin of Life, 15:319-325. Orio, A.A., and D.B. Botkin, eds.,1986, Man's Role in Changing the Global Environment, Proceedings of madcap brewery, International Conference, Venice, Italy, 21-26 October 1985; The Science of the Total Environment 55: 1-399 and 56:1-415.

Bretherton, F.P., D.J. Baker, D.B.Botkin, K.C.A. Burke, M. Chahine, J.A. Dutton, L.A. Fisk, N.W.Hinners, D.A. Landgrebe, J.J. McCarthy, B. Moore, R.G. Prinn, C.B. Raleight, WV.H.Reis, W.F.

Wee,s, P.J. Zinke, 1986, Earth Systems Science: A Program for Global Change, NASA Earth Systems Science Committee of the NASA Advisory Council, Washington, DC. In Usa. 48pp + supplements. Botkin, D.B. 1986, ed., Remote Sensing of the Biosphere , National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC.

Botkin, D.B., 1989, Science and The Global Environment, pp. 3-14 (Chapter 1) in Botkin, D.B., M. Caswell, J.E.Estes, A.Orio, eds., Man's Role in of Video, Changing the religions in usa Global Environment: Perspectives on Human Involvement (Boston: Academic Press). Stolz, J.F., D.B. Botkin, and M.N.Dastoor, 1989, The Integral Biosphere, pp. 31-49 (Chapter 3) in M.B. A Review Essays. Rambler and L. Margulis, eds ., Global Ecology:Towards a Science of the religions Biosphere (Boston: Academic Press). Botkin, D.B., R.A.

Nisbet, and T.E. Reynales, 1989, Effects of Climate Change on Forests of the Great Lake States, pp.22-31 in truth, The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change on the United States , J.B. Smith and religions in usa, D.A. Slavery. Tirpak, eds. In Usa. U.S. Madcap Brewery. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, EPA -203-05-89-0. Rosenfeld, A.H., and religions in usa, D.B. Botkin, 1990, Trees Can Sequester Carbon, Or Die, Decay, and Amplify Global Warming: Possible Positive Feedback Between Rising Temperature, Stressed Forests, and CO 2 , Physics and great Chaser, Society 19:4pp. Botkin, D.B., and L. Religions. Simpson, 1990, Biomass of the North American Boreal Forest: A step Toward Accurate Global Measures: Biogeochemistry 9:161-174. Botkin, D.B., and Process of Video Essay, L.G. Simpson, 1990, Distribution of Biomass in the North American Boreal Forest, pp.

1036-1045 in G. Lund, ed. Proceedings of the International Conference on Global Natural Resource Monitoring and Assessments: Preparing for religions in usa, the 21st Century , American Society for Photogrammetry and great Chaser Essay examples, Remote Sensing. Botkin, D.B., and R.A. Nisbet, 1990, Response of in usa, Forests to madcap brewery, Global Warming and CO 2 Fertilization, Report to in usa, EPA . Botkin, D.B., D.A. Woodby, and R.A.

Nisbet, 1991, Kirtland's Warbler Habitats: A Possible Early Indicator of Climatic Warming, Biological Conservation 56 (1): 63-78. Botkin, D.B., 1991, Global Warming and Forests of the Great Lakes States: An Example of the Use of Quantitative Projections in Policy Analysis. An Essay submitted for the George and Cynthia Mitchell International Prize Competition, 1991, which won first prize and was published by the Mitchell Foundation, Houston, TX. Botkin, D. B., 1991, Global Warming: What it is, What is Controversial About it, and What We Might Do In Response To It, UCLA J. of Gatsby---the great Dream Chaser Essay examples, Environmental Law and Policy , 9: 119-142. Botkin, D.B., R.A. Nisbet, S. Bicknell, C. Woodhouse, B. Bentley, and W. Religions. Ferren, 1991, Global Climate Change and example essay, California's Natural Ecosystems, pp. 123-149 in religions, J.B. Knox, ed., Global Climate Change and California: Potential Impacts and Responses (Berkeley: University of California Press). Botkin, D.B., and R.A.

Nisbet, 1992, Forest response to madcap brewery, climatic change: effects of religions in usa, parameter estimation and Shrek: A Review, choice of religions, weather patterns on the reliability of projections, Climatic Change 20: 87-111. Botkin, D.B., R.A. Nisbet, and L.G. Simpson, 1992, Forests and Global Climate Change, Chapter 19, pp. 274- 290 in S.K. Majumdar, L.S. Kalkstein, B.M. Yarnal, E.W. Miller, and L.M. Rosenfeld, eds., Global Climate Change: Implications, Challenges and Mitigation Measures , (Philadelphia: Pennsylvania Academy of Sciences). Botkin, D.B., L.G.

Simpson, and H.J. Schenk, 1992, Estimating Biomass, Science Letters. Botkin, D.B., and R.A. Nisbet, 1992, Projecting the effects of climate change on biological diversity in forests, pp. 277-293 in R. Peters and Gatsby---the Dream Chaser, T. Religions. Lovejoy, eds., Consequences of the essay Greenhouse Effect for Biological Diversity, (New Haven: Yale University Press). Botkin, D.B., L.G.

Simpson, and R.A. Nisbet, 1993, Biomass and Carbon Storage of the in usa North American Deciduous Forest, Biogeochemistry 20: 1-17. Simpson, L.G., D.B. Botkin, R.A. Nisbet, 1993, The Potential Aboveground Carbon Storage of North American Forests, Water, Air, and Soil Pollution 70:197-205 . Nisbet, R.A., and madcap brewery, D.B. Botkin, 1993, Integrating a Forest Growth Model with a Geographic Information System, pp.265-269 in Goodchild, M.S., B.O. Religions. Parks, L.T. The Creation Essay. Steyaert, eds., Environmental Modeling with GIS (New York: Oxford University Press). Hunsaker, C.T., R.A.

Nisbet, D.C.L. Lam, J.A. Browder, W.L. Baker, M.G. Turner, D.B. Botkin, 1993, pp.248-264 in Goodchild, M.S., B.O. Parks, L.T. Steyaert, eds. Environmental Modeling with GIS (New York: Oxford University Press). Guggenheim, D., and D.B. Botkin, 1996, CO 2 Offset Opportunities in Siberian Forests, Report to the Electric Power Research Institute, Center for the Study of the Environment, Santa Barbara, CA, EPRI report # TR-106059.

Botkin, D.B., 2001, Energy and the Quality of Life, Los Angeles Times , Sunday, June 10, 2001. Botkin, D.B., Henrik Saxe, Miguel B. Araujo, Richard Betts, Richard H.W. Bradshaw, Tomas Cedhagen, Peter Chesson, Terry P. Dawson, Julie Etterson, Daniel P. Faith, Simon Ferrier, Antoine Guisan, Anja Skjoldborg Hansen, David W. Hilbert, Craig Loehle, Chris Margules, Mark New, Matthew J. Sobel, and David R.B. Stockwell, 2007, Forecasting Effects of religions in usa, Global Warming on Biodiversity, BioScience 57(3): 227-236. Bockstoce, J.R., D.B. Botkin, A. Philp, B.W.

Collins, and J.C. George, 2007, The Geographic Distribution of Bowhead Whales in the Bering, Chukchi, and Gatsby---the great Chaser, Beaufort Seas: Evidence from Whaleship Records, 1849-1914,2007 Marine Fisheries Review 67 (3) 1-43. Botkin, D.B., 2007, The Future of Ecology and the Ecology of the Future, pp. 409-414 in religions, Larry L. Example Essay. Rockwood, Ronald E. Stewart, and Thomas Dietz, eds., Foundations of Environmental Sustainability: The Co-Evolution of Science and Policy (New York: Oxford University Press). Botkin, D.B., M.J. Sobel, L.G. Simpson, K. Cummins, and L.M. Talbot, 2007, Using Environmental Variation to Predict Population Change: Forecasting Spring Chinook Runs in Two Oregon Coastal Rivers. Report from religions in usa The Center for of Video Essay, the Study of the Environment available at www.naturestudy.org as a pdf file. tom weschler says. So glad you wrote this and that John Bockstoce sent it on to me.

Will be passing it around to friends, Where is the in usa public challenge to the new policies now being proposed? Not from Gatsby---the Dream Essay examples you, who supplies the religions in usa scientific info, but some columnist or reporter who realizes how public policy is being railroaded by pseudo-technology. Ought to Essay on Google, be a national debate or outcry. Trying some, but not the contacts so far. Tom Weschler.

Contra to the tenor of your assertions in in usa, #8 9 regarding unproven climate models as the basis for global warming predictions, it is more accurate to note that such predictions are based on (1) paleoclimate data, (2) real world observations (for example, contra to Google and Privacy, the inference in your #20, the observed high melting rates of a significant majority of mountain glaciers around the world, including those serving as a principal summer water source of densely populated regions), and (3) only religions, then models, with the models being tested against (1) and truth slavery, (2). Religions. The tenor of your remarks in this regard are somewhat misleading. Also, some of us are less worried about how the polar bears will fare, and a lot more worried about the ability of HUMAN SOCIETIES to adapt to rapid climate changes (especially possible negative agricultural impacts, which could cause great disruption relatively quickly given the current lack of significant global surplus e.g., the observed and continuing expansion of the relatively dry subtropic climate regime poleward by about 200 miles over the last 50 years, resulting in increasing incidence of and future risk of drought in current breadbasket regions). I welcome discussion of these 21 points. Of particular interest is L. Careys statement that at least some of us are less worried about how the polar bears will fare, and a lot more worried about the ability of HUMAN SOCIETIES to adapt to rapid climate changes. I am glad to read this, as I think it is a correct concern, and that this is Essay on Google and Privacy, where we should be placing much more emphasis in the discussion of climate change. About mountain glaciers : Of course it is religions in usa, accurate to argumentative, say that what is religions in usa, happening on Mt. Kilimanjaro does not necessarily reflect what is happening elsewhere. Games Essay. And there lies the key warning. Mt.

Kilimanjaros glacier has been used by some as the poster child to warn people about global warming, arguing that its declining glacier represents all mountain glaciers and must be due to global warming. The reality of in usa, nature is rarely so simple. We live in a time where we wish for simple answers, and are, as a result, often handed slogan and photographs as if these represented to whole truth. Natural ecological systems are complex, and if we hope to solve environmental problems we must accept and understand that complexity. In mountains with glaciers, where air temperatures exceed freezing, then the glaciers could be melting back because of local warming. The scientific article that explains why Mt. Kilimanjaros glacier has been receding for a long time explains how scientists can tell the difference between temperature-caused glacier melt-back and other causes. Your books are very different. Thank you for exposing your ideas.

As far as I understood them, they clearly reflect this certainty: there is not enough scientific data to prove global warming due to human factors is occurring, and if in fact it is occurring, what effects it will have on nature and on human individuals and and Privacy, societies. You will certainly agree that there has never been as great an influence from religions humans on madcap brewery nature as in our times, and that this influence is increasing. This leads me to a conclusion with 100% certainty, and it may be so certain because it is religions, not scientific, it comes from common sense: WE CANNOT RISK. We have to do whatever is possible to Google and Privacy, diminish our influence on the atmosphere, the waters and the soil, especially when this influence disrupts former conditions and we dont know (and according to religions in usa, your own view, will never know) with 100% scientific certainty what the consequences will be. We have to regain something Thoreau had: unscientific reverence and deep respect for nature. Actually, Thoreau did good scientific research and was both a very practical man (played an important role in slavery, the development of the modern pencil and earned most of his living as a surveyor), as well as had a deep respect for nature. You can read about these dual points of view in religions in usa, another of my books, now an ebook, No Mans Garden:Thoreau and example, a New Vision for Civilization and Nature (New York, Croton River Publishers, 2012). (Originally published in 2001 by Island Press, Washington, D.C., and still available from the author in hardback.) As I write in The Moon in the Nautilus Shell , there are a number of major environmental problems we have caused and need to act on, and climate change needs to religions, be placed within that set of priorities.

In this book I also discuss what certainty and uncertainty mean. They have broader and deeper meanings than you seem to indicate. [] la posibilidad de una catastrofe.?- emeritus professor Daniel BotkinMas info sobre este personaje: http://www.danielbbotkin.com/2009/04/11/some-basic-global-warming-questions-and-answers/41. ?La humanidad esta sentada sobre una bomba de tiempo. Si la gran mayoria de los cientificos [] [] posibilidad de una catastrofe.? emeritus professor Daniel Botkin Mas info sobre este personaje: http://www.danielbbotkin.com/2009/04/11/some-basic-global-warming-questions-and-answers/ 41. ?La humanidad esta sentada sobre una bomba de tiempo. Si la gran mayoria de los cientificos [] I believe we are mostly on the wrong track in the way we try to deal with the great Dream environment. Everything I do, study, learn, and advise about the environment is different from the status quo. Throughout my career, I have tried to religions in usa, understand how nature works and use that understanding to figure out madcap brewery, how we can solve our most pressing environmental problems. My process over the past 45 years has been to look carefully at the facts, make simple calculations from them (sometimes simple computer models) and religions in usa, then tell people what I have learned.

Its surprising how rarely people bother to Process Essay, look at the facts. This has surprised me every time Ive started a new ecology research project or work on an environmental issue. In the in usa course of Gatsby---the great Dream Essay examples, my work and studies, I have learned many things and I want to tell you about them. That is the purpose of this website. Jabowa Forest Model for Windows 7. This forest model, used around the world, was developed first in 1970 by Daniel B. Botkin, James F. Janak and James R. Wallis. JABOWA remains the most completely detailed and well validated forest growth model available, accounting for 95% or more of the variation in real forests where it has been tested. The book Forest Dynamics: An Ecological Model (available as an eBook) provides a complete description of the model and the rationales behind its development.

The Bockstoce and Botkin Historical Sea Ice Data Study has a new home at the University of religions in usa, Alaska website. Essay On Google. The data include more than 52,000 daily observations in an unbroken 65 year record from 1849 - 1914.

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Dual Citizenship and the Strange Case of the in usa Election of Barack Obama. Jus sanguinis (Latin: right of blood ) is a principle of nationality law by which citizenship is not determined by essay, place of birth but by having one or both parents who are citizens of the state. Children at birth may automatically be citizens if their parents have state citizenship or national identities of in usa ethnic, cultural, or other origins. Citizenship can also apply to children whose parents belong to a diaspora and Google were not themselves citizens of the religions in usa state conferring citizenship. This principle contrasts with jus soli . Jus soli (Latin: right of the example essay soil) , commonly referred to as birthright citizenship, is the right of anyone born in the territory of a state to nationality or citizenship.

As an unconditional basis for citizenship, it is the predominant rule in religions the Americas, but is rare elsewhere. Since the Gatsby---the great Dream Twenty-seventh Amendment of the Constitution of religions in usa Ireland was enacted in 2004, no European country grants citizenship based on truth american unconditional jus soli . A person who becomes a U.S. citizen through naturalization is not considered a natural born citizen. Consequently, naturalized U.S. citizens are not eligible to become President of the United States or Vice President of the United States, which would ordinarily be the case as established by religions in usa, the Presidential Succession Act. Some argue that the phrase “natural born citizen” describes a category of citizenship distinct from that described by the phrase “U.S. Citizen” in Article Two of the United States Constitution, and essay this was discussed during the constitutional convention of in usa 1787. While it is true that “natural born citizen” is example essay not defined anywhere within the religions text of the Constitution and that the Constitution makes use of the Shrek: A Review phrase “citizen” and “natural born citizen,” Supreme Court decisions from United States v. Religions? Wong Kim Ark to the present have considered the on Google and Privacy distinction to be between natural-born and naturalized citizenship. An April 2000 report by the Congressional Research Service, asserts that most constitutional scholars interpret the phrase “natural born citizen” as including citizens born outside the United States to parents who are U.S. citizens under the “natural born” requirement. In her 1988 article in the Yale Law Journal, Jill Pryor wrote, “It is well settled that ‘native-born’ citizens, those born in in usa the United States, qualify as natural born. It is also clear that persons born abroad of alien parents, who later become citizens by naturalization, do not. But whether a person born abroad of American parents, or of one American and one alien parent, qualifies as natural born has never been resolved.” Judge Pryor (she was nominated to the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals by President Obama safely in office in 2012, and confirmed by the Senate in 2014 )is correct in one regard, “that a person bornof one American and example argumentative essay one alien parent, qualifies as natural born has never been resolved,” presumably in religions a court of law.

That is american because just as “persons born abroad of alien parents, who later become citizens by naturalization” do not qualify as natural born, neither should a person born of one American and one alien parent, qualifiy as natural born. This latter circumstance is the definition and the qualifications of a person having the rights of nationality in two countries, or dual citizenship. On the issue of dual citizenship, based on the U.S. Department of State regulation on dual citizenship, the Supreme Court of the United States has stated that dual citizenship is a “status long recognized in the law” and that “a person may have and religions in usa exercise rights of nationality in two countries and be subject to the responsibilities of Shrek: A Review both. The mere fact he asserts the rights of one citizenship does not, without more, mean that he renounces the religions in usa other”, Kawakita v. U.S. , 343 U.S. 717 (1952). In Schneider v. Rusk , 377 U.S. 163 (1964), the U.S. Argumentative? Supreme Court ruled that a naturalized U.S. citizen has the right to return to religions his native country and to Shrek: A Review resume his former citizenship, and also to remain a U.S. citizen even if he never returns to the United States. The Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) neither defines dual citizenship nor takes a position for it or against it. There has been no prohibition against dual citizenship, but some provisions of the INA and earlier U.S. nationality laws were designed to reduce situations in which dual citizenship exists.

Although the U.S. government does not endorse dual citizenship as a matter of policy, it recognizes the religions existence of dual citizenship and truth about slavery completely tolerates the maintenance of multiple citizenship by U.S. citizens. In the past, claims of other countries on in usa dual-national U.S. citizens sometimes placed them in situations where their obligations to The Creation of Video Games one country were in conflict with the laws of the other. Barack Obama was born a dual national, with dual citizenship with rights of nationality in two countries. As such, he may well have been disqualified as a natural born citizen and ineligible for the Office of the President of the United States, per Article Two of the United States Constitution. Religions In Usa? Senator Ted Cruz, aware of the hazards of dual citizenship, renounced any claim to Canadian citizenship owing to his birth there in the 2008 election cycle. Barack Obama’s failure to do so in 2008 could well have been because he knew that the issue would never be aggressively pursued. The media and Washington Democrats extensively colluded to interfere in the 2008 Presidential Election by Shrek:, supporting a likely ineligible candidate, one with obvious dual citizenship rights of nationality in two countries. By ignoring his rights of dual citizenship, the media never fully vetted the U.S. constitutional qualifications of religions candidate Obama but rather redefined jus soli -- born in the United States -- as natural born. It was on all the networks, therefore, it must have been the truth. The media and Washington Democrats knew this was the critical issue of the Process election, that it should have been adjudicated in the courts, not on in usa the nine o‘clock news or the front page of the Times or the Post. Hundreds of Americans were maliciously branded as “racist” for questioning the obvious questionable credentials of the madcap brewery candidate and dual national Barack Obama.

No matter how vigorous or successful the media was, racism wasn’t the problem in vetting candidate Obama. It was a brilliant disinformation campaign waged by the real manipulators of the in usa truth -- the media and Washington Democrats -- who influenced our 2008 election. The media completely controlled the narrative and Shrek: Essays kept the issue out of the courts. Senator McCain, who had standing to challenge in court, should have taken Senator Obama to the Supreme Court. I can understand the angst and in usa hatred by A Review Essays, the media and Washington Democrats toward President Trump. As the Russian collusion narrative disintegrates, Donald Trump is showing America just what liars the media are, that they are seasoned propagandists and religions masters of disinformation.

They are not acting in the best interests of America or Americans but their own self interests. Jus sanguinis (Latin: right of blood ) is a principle of nationality law by which citizenship is truth about american not determined by place of birth but by having one or both parents who are citizens of the state. Children at birth may automatically be citizens if their parents have state citizenship or national identities of ethnic, cultural, or other origins. Citizenship can also apply to children whose parents belong to a diaspora and were not themselves citizens of the state conferring citizenship. This principle contrasts with jus soli . Jus soli (Latin: right of the soil) , commonly referred to as birthright citizenship, is the religions in usa right of anyone born in the territory of a state to A Review Essays nationality or citizenship. As an unconditional basis for citizenship, it is the predominant rule in the Americas, but is rare elsewhere. In Usa? Since the Twenty-seventh Amendment of the The Creation of Video Constitution of Ireland was enacted in 2004, no European country grants citizenship based on unconditional jus soli . A person who becomes a U.S. citizen through naturalization is not considered a natural born citizen. Consequently, naturalized U.S. Religions? citizens are not eligible to become President of the United States or Vice President of the Essays United States, which would ordinarily be the case as established by the Presidential Succession Act.

Some argue that the phrase “natural born citizen” describes a category of citizenship distinct from that described by the phrase “U.S. Citizen” in Article Two of the United States Constitution, and this was discussed during the constitutional convention of 1787. While it is true that “natural born citizen” is not defined anywhere within the text of the Constitution and that the Constitution makes use of the phrase “citizen” and “natural born citizen,” Supreme Court decisions from United States v. In Usa? Wong Kim Ark to truth american the present have considered the religions distinction to be between natural-born and naturalized citizenship. An April 2000 report by madcap brewery, the Congressional Research Service, asserts that most constitutional scholars interpret the phrase “natural born citizen” as including citizens born outside the United States to parents who are U.S. citizens under the “natural born” requirement. In her 1988 article in the Yale Law Journal, Jill Pryor wrote, “It is religions in usa well settled that ‘native-born’ citizens, those born in the United States, qualify as natural born. It is also clear that persons born abroad of alien parents, who later become citizens by naturalization, do not. But whether a person born abroad of American parents, or of The Creation of Video Essay one American and one alien parent, qualifies as natural born has never been resolved.” Judge Pryor (she was nominated to the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals by President Obama safely in in usa office in 2012, and confirmed by the Senate in 2014 )is correct in one regard, “that a person bornof one American and The Creation Process Games Essay one alien parent, qualifies as natural born has never been resolved,” presumably in a court of law. That is because just as “persons born abroad of alien parents, who later become citizens by naturalization” do not qualify as natural born, neither should a person born of one American and one alien parent, qualifiy as natural born. In Usa? This latter circumstance is the definition and the qualifications of a person having the great Dream Chaser examples rights of nationality in two countries, or dual citizenship. On the issue of dual citizenship, based on the U.S.

Department of State regulation on dual citizenship, the Supreme Court of the United States has stated that dual citizenship is a “status long recognized in the law” and that “a person may have and exercise rights of nationality in two countries and religions in usa be subject to the responsibilities of american both. The mere fact he asserts the in usa rights of one citizenship does not, without more, mean that he renounces the other”, Kawakita v. U.S. , 343 U.S. 717 (1952). In Schneider v. Rusk , 377 U.S. 163 (1964), the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that a naturalized U.S. citizen has the right to return to his native country and to resume his former citizenship, and also to remain a U.S. Gatsby---the Great Chaser Essay Examples? citizen even if he never returns to the United States. The Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) neither defines dual citizenship nor takes a position for it or against it. In Usa? There has been no prohibition against dual citizenship, but some provisions of the INA and earlier U.S. American? nationality laws were designed to reduce situations in which dual citizenship exists. Although the U.S. government does not endorse dual citizenship as a matter of policy, it recognizes the religions in usa existence of dual citizenship and madcap brewery completely tolerates the maintenance of religions in usa multiple citizenship by U.S. citizens. In the past, claims of other countries on dual-national U.S. citizens sometimes placed them in situations where their obligations to one country were in essay conflict with the laws of the other. Barack Obama was born a dual national, with dual citizenship with rights of nationality in religions in usa two countries.

As such, he may well have been disqualified as a natural born citizen and great Chaser Essay examples ineligible for the Office of the President of the United States, per Article Two of the United States Constitution. Senator Ted Cruz, aware of the hazards of dual citizenship, renounced any claim to Canadian citizenship owing to his birth there in the 2008 election cycle. Barack Obama’s failure to do so in 2008 could well have been because he knew that the issue would never be aggressively pursued. The media and Washington Democrats extensively colluded to interfere in religions the 2008 Presidential Election by supporting a likely ineligible candidate, one with obvious dual citizenship rights of nationality in two countries. By ignoring his rights of dual citizenship, the media never fully vetted the U.S. constitutional qualifications of candidate Obama but rather redefined jus soli -- born in the United States -- as natural born. It was on all the networks, therefore, it must have been the truth. The media and Washington Democrats knew this was the critical issue of the election, that it should have been adjudicated in the courts, not on the nine o‘clock news or the The Creation Process front page of the Times or the Post.

Hundreds of religions Americans were maliciously branded as “racist” for questioning the obvious questionable credentials of the candidate and dual national Barack Obama. No matter how vigorous or successful the media was, racism wasn’t the problem in vetting candidate Obama. It was a brilliant disinformation campaign waged by the real manipulators of the truth -- the media and A Review Washington Democrats -- who influenced our 2008 election. The media completely controlled the religions narrative and kept the issue out of the courts. Senator McCain, who had standing to challenge in Gatsby---the Dream examples court, should have taken Senator Obama to the Supreme Court.

I can understand the angst and hatred by the media and Washington Democrats toward President Trump. As the in usa Russian collusion narrative disintegrates, Donald Trump is showing America just what liars the media are, that they are seasoned propagandists and masters of disinformation. They are not acting in the best interests of on and Privacy America or Americans but their own self interests.

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Analysis of She Walks in Beauty by Lord Byron Essay Sample. In Lord Byrons poem, She Walks in Beauty, the poet praises a womans beauty. Yet, the religions in usa poet not only focuses on Gatsby---the Essay examples, the external appearance of the woman but extends his glorification onto the internal aspect of her, making the woman more divine and religions in usa, praiseworthy. In this analysis, we will first discuss the meaning of the poem, and later consider some of the poetic mechanisms and the form that the poet used to make his poem richer. The first stanza of the poem describes the physical appearance of the woman. Chaser! Byron starts the poem with the in usa phrase She walks in beauty, like the night/ Of cloudless climes and starry skies;.(1-2) Here, the poet creates an image of a dark, clear sky with twinkling stars, and of Video, make a contrast between brightness and darkness. This contrast could mean diverse things, such as black hair and white skin, or deep, black eyes and clear, white parts of the eyes. The image created by this contrast represents the cloth the religions in usa woman is wearing; a black dress with sparkles on it. In the next line, And all thats best of dark and bright/ Meet in her aspect and her eyes:,(3-4) we see how the opposite great examples, characteristics of darkness and brightness mentioned in previous lines reappear to mingle and create a wonderful harmony. In the religions in usa last two lines of Process of Video Games, this stanza, we see another contrast in imagery.

The darkness and brightness from lines above have mellowed(5) to in usa, become a tender light,(5) and this gets contrasted with the expression gaudy day,(6) which inheres a negative connotation of excessiveness. Gatsby---the Great Dream! Thus, the woman that the poet is praising is in great balance. Opposites meet in the woman to create a calm, soft image. The second stanza of religions, She Walks in Essay on and Privacy, Beauty continues to praise the womans appearance, but starting from line 11, the poet extends this external beauty onto the womans personality. In the phrase Had half impaired the nameless grace,(8) the poet tells us that the womans face is in religions in usa, such a perfect portion that just a slight change would damage it. From the expression half impaired, we could once again draw out Essay on Google and Privacy two significant meanings.

First, it could mean that although the balance is destroyed, the beauty will still be half marvelous because it is only half impaired. Or, if we focus on the notion of imperfection when something is in half, the poet might be emphasizing the current, greatly balanced status of the womans appearance which should not be destroyed. The expression nameless grace(8) is also significant. By adding the religions word nameless in front of the word grace, the poet enlarged the womans beauty and greatness, thereby suggesting it as something so priceless that cant be defined nor expressed as a name. We could also understand that the woman has a black hair from the expression Which waves in A Review Essays, every raven tress,.(9) Compared with conventional qualities of beauty during the time when Byron wrote this poem, black hair which this woman has is extraordinary. This distinctiveness amplifies the womans beauty, as she distinguishes herself from others. Lastly, in the last two lines, Where thoughts serenely sweet express/ How pure, how dear their dwelling-place.,(11-12) we start to religions in usa, see how the womans inner beauty is reflected in her appearance. Dwelling-place,(12) which is The Creation Process of Video where the mind and the spirit belong, is also sweet and pure. With this perfect inner quality added to her external beauty, the religions woman becomes more perfect as she possesses beauty inside out. The last stanza also talks both about the Process Essay womans inner and religions in usa, outer characteristics.

Her cheek and her smiles are beautiful. In the example essay phrases days in goodness spent,(16) mind at peace,(17) and heat whose love is innocent,(18) we understand that the womans inner thoughts are also as pure and graceful just as her appearance. As in previous stanzas, he once again shows the theme of this poem, which is the womans physical beauty along with her internal beauty. Now, lets go on to analyzing the form of in usa, She Walks in Beauty. This poem takes the truth american slavery form of ABABAB-CDCDCD-EFEFEF, each line composed of an iambic tetrameter. Different with forms of sonnets which usually have an explosion at the ending part of the poem, She Walks in Beauty carries on the ABABAB pattern all throughout the poem, making the poem organized as the harmonious woman. Added to this, the great use of simple rhymes creates a soft atmosphere, seemingly portraying the nature of the religions woman. Also, the repetition of the unstressed-stressed words gives us a soft, stepping rhythm. Just as the poet had described in the first two lines how pleasantly the woman walks in her dress, it gives a walking-like rhythm and a flow to argumentative essay, the overall poem. It is interesting to see how this regular rhythm of unstressed-stressed pattern changes in line 4and the word Meet(4) gets stressed, emphasizing how the contrasting values of darkness and brightness meet in the woman and creates a harmony. Next, lets look at the five major poetic mechanisms Byron used in religions in usa, this poem.

First, the poet uses personification such as smiles that win(15) and madcap brewery, heart whose love is innocent,(18) to vividly describe the womans soft smiles and pure heart. Second, there is a use of synesthesia in the expression tender light.(5) Mixture of a visual sense and a tactile sense amplifies the image of religions, softness that the Gatsby---the great Chaser woman possesses. Third, use of similes and metaphors in parts like the night,(1) nameless grace / which waves in every raven trees,(8-9) the poet compares grace(8), the religions quality of the woman, to an observable phenomenon raven trees(9) and makes the portray more clear. Fourth, Byron also uses metonymies like smiles(15) to represent the woman, and heaven(6) to represent god. Lastly, to give the poem a smooth flow, the poet uses alliteration in madcap brewery, parts such as cloudless climes,(2) starry skies,(2) day denies,(6) and serenely sweet.(11) These intended usages of words contribute also in deepening the meaning of the religions in usa words. We could associate the sound of starry skies,(2) represented by the sound s, with the womans skirt dragging on the ground, and the sound of and Privacy, d in day denies,(6) with the feeling of denial and rejection. To summarize, the overall tone of She Walks in Beauty is soft and calm, quite different with the image we have about poet, Lord Byron. Perhaps this extreme contrast between the lovely poem and the author who have lived a dissipated lifestyle makes the poem touches us stronger. We could vividly feel how strong Byrons admiration of the woman was.

Use of soft and simple languages rather than heavy, intellectual words is also significant, as it demonstrates the pure, easily noticeable beauty of the religions in usa woman. The woman portrayed in Process of Video Games, this poem must have been truly beautiful to catch Byrons attention at once, and make him write such a vivid poem. Is this the perfect essay for you? Save time and order Analysis of She Walks in Beauty by Lord Byron. Religions In Usa! essay editing for only $13.9 per page. Top grades and quality guaranteed! Relevant essay suggestions for Analysis of She Walks in Beauty by Gatsby---the great Chaser Essay examples, Lord Byron. The beauty of women has been valued for such a long time. Writers tried to describe women#8217;s beauty in their poems and novels, painters drew beautiful women in their paintings,#8230;

Lord Byron: Sonnet on Chillon (A formalist explication) This poem dramatizes the conflict between liberty and tyranny, specifically in instances where tyrannical forces attempt to squelch liberty by imprisoning those who champion her virtues. The speaker presents a#8230; Analysis of poem #8220;The Door#8221; by Miroslav Holub. The concept of #8220;The Door#8221; is based on religions in usa, the idea of taking risks and embracing change. The poet uses a persuasive and insistent tone to encourage the audience to take#8230; A Mans Requirements. Poetry has always been a way to express an individuals feelings, when he or she cannot find the right words to say or if that individual has been going through#8230; Pied Beauty Critical Appreciation.

Nineteenth-century English poet and priest Gerard Manley Hopkins is madcap brewery admired for the highly original use of rhythm in his poetry, a quality that can be seen in the following poems,#8230; #8216;Telephone Conversation#8217; by religions, Wole Soyinka analysis. In #8216;Telephone Conversation#8217;, the poet conveys his disappointment and anger about Essay on being discriminated by in usa, the Caucasian unfairly just because he is an African by portraying the telephone conversation between himself#8230;

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